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<?xml-stylesheet type="text/xsl" href="https://meteosomalia.so/cap-alert-style.xsl"?><cap:alert xmlns:cap="urn:oasis:names:tc:emergency:cap:1.2"><cap:identifier>urn:oid:2.49.0.1.706.123.2026.10.16.7.40.0</cap:identifier><cap:sender>Forecast.section@moecc.gov.so</cap:sender><cap:sent>2026-10-16T10:40:00+03:00</cap:sent><cap:status>Actual</cap:status><cap:msgType>Alert</cap:msgType><cap:scope>Public</cap:scope><cap:info><cap:language>en</cap:language><cap:category>Met</cap:category><cap:event>Flash Food</cap:event><cap:urgency>Future</cap:urgency><cap:severity>Moderate</cap:severity><cap:certainty>Likely</cap:certainty><cap:audience>Residents of flood-prone and low-lying areas across southern, central, and northern Somalia, particularly communities in Gedo, Bay, Bakool, Hiraan, Galgaduud, Mudug, Middle Shabelle, Lower Shabelle, Sool, and Nugaal regions. The alert is also intended for farmers, pastoralists, motorists, internally displaced persons (IDPs), humanitarian organizations, local authorities, and emergency response agencies operating in areas at risk of heavy rainfall and flash flooding.</cap:audience><cap:eventCode><cap:valueName>OET:v1.2</cap:valueName><cap:value>OET-079</cap:value></cap:eventCode><cap:effective>2026-10-10T02:00:00+03:00</cap:effective><cap:onset>2026-10-10T01:00:00+03:00</cap:onset><cap:expires>2026-10-15T17:00:00+03:00</cap:expires><cap:senderName>Somalia National Meteorogical Agency</cap:senderName><cap:headline>Heavy rainfall is expected across parts of southern, central, and northern Somalia from 10–15 October 2026. Stay alert for possible flash flooding.</cap:headline><cap:description>Heavy rainfall is forecast across parts of southern, central, and northern Somalia during the period 10–15 October 2026. Cumulative rainfall amounts of 50–100 mm are expected in parts of Gedo, Bay, Bakool, Hiraan, Galgaduud, Mudug, Middle Shabelle, Lower Shabelle, Sool, and Nugaal regions, with localized areas potentially receiving more than 100 mm.

Moderate rainfall of 20–50 mm is expected across other parts of the country, while some northern and coastal areas may receive less than 20 mm.

The anticipated heavy rainfall may trigger localized flash floods, waterlogging, and disruptions to transportation, particularly in low-lying areas, settlements with poor drainage, and locations near seasonal streams. Communities in flood-prone areas are advised to remain vigilant and follow official weather updates and early warning information.</cap:description><cap:instruction>Residents in areas forecast to receive heavy rainfall are advised to remain vigilant and take necessary precautions against possible flash flooding and waterlogging. Avoid crossing flooded roads, seasonal rivers, and fast-flowing streams. Communities living in low-lying and flood-prone areas should prepare to move to safer locations if conditions deteriorate or evacuation is advised. Farmers and livestock owners are encouraged to take precautionary measures to protect their crops, animals, and property. Motorists should exercise caution when travelling, particularly in areas with poor drainage or reduced visibility. The public is strongly advised to monitor official weather forecasts and early warning updates issued by the Department of Meteorology and follow instructions from local authorities and emergency response agencies.</cap:instruction><cap:web>https://meteosomalia.so/alerts/moderate-to-heavy-rainfall/</cap:web><cap:contact>Forecast.section@moecc.gov.so</cap:contact><cap:area><cap:areaDesc>Gedo, Bay, Bakool, Hiraan, Galgaduud,Mudug</cap:areaDesc><cap:polygon>4.115046,42.708827 4.796109,43.806605 5.008037,45.161042 6.540205,46.757726 8.142508,48.015141 8.204228,46.886158 9.165854,44.544529 10.695938,45.627752 9.58111,49.462482 9.345569,50.64507 7.040676,49.132737 5.253912,48.451858 3.625777,47.091417 2.765816,46.152205 2.433276,45.534049 -0.160896,42.366158 -0.612541,41.365792 2.271872,42.033325 3.464598,43.154892 4.115046,42.708827</cap:polygon></cap:area></cap:info></cap:alert>